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The U.S. non-farm data is far lower than expected! Spot gold hits another high

Post time: 2025-09-08 views

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Hello everyone, today XM Foreign Exchange will bring you "[XM Foreign Exchange Platform]: US non-farm data is far lower than expected! Spot gold hits a new high." Hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:

On September 8, early trading in the Asian market on Monday, Beijing time, the US dollar index hovered around 97.90. Last Friday, the non-farm data was in a big upset, and the US dollar index fell sharply in the short term and was close to erasing all the gains last week, and finally closed down 0.54% to 97.74. The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yield closed at 4.0770%, while the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield closed at 3.5190%. Spot gold hit a new high, briefly breaking through the 3600 mark, closing at $3586/ounce, and finally closing up 1.12%, the third consecutive week of closing up; spot silver closed up 0.82% to $40.97/ounce. The prospect of further increase in production has exacerbated concerns about oversupply, with international oil prices falling for three consecutive days. WTI crude oil maintained a downward trend throughout the day, losing to $62, and finally closed down 2.61% at $61.69/barrel; Brent crude oil finally closed down 1.81% at $65.66/barrel.

Analysis of major currencies

Dollar Index: As of press time, the US dollar index hovered at $97.90. Market attention turned to Friday's U.S. non-farm employment report (NFP), which will be key to determining whether the market will push expectations higher than the already fully priced rate cut at the Federal Reserve meeting on September 16-17. Weak employment data could open the door to a larger adjustment, while strong recruitment data could provide new support for the dollar. In the UK, retail sales and fiscal dynamics remain at the heart of the pound's outlook. Technically, the most recent support level of the US dollar index is in the range of 97.10–97.30. If the U.S. dollar index falls below that level, it will go to the next support level 96.40–96.55.

The U.S. non-farm data is far lower than expected! Spot gold hits another high(图1)

Euro: As of press time, the euro/dollar hovers around 1.1707. The euro/dollar hit a new weekly high on Friday, reaching 1.1759 for the first time, its highest level since the end of July. The fact that the EUR/USD is close to the latter suggests that the USD (USD) may weaken further in the future. Technically, breaking through the 1.1750 level will open the way for testing the next resistance level 1.1785–1.1800.

The U.S. non-farm data is far lower than expected! Spot gold hits another high(图2)

GBP: As of press time, GBP/USD is hovering around 1.3491. While the Bank of England's cautious stance continues to provide some support for the currency, speculation by market participants about the potential stagflation scenario has sparked additional concerns and seems to curb occasional bullish attempts. Technically, if the GBP/USD climbs above the 1.3550 level, it will move towards resistance at 1.3585–1.3600.

The U.S. non-farm data is far lower than expected! Spot gold hits another high(图3)

Analysis of gold and crude oil market trends

1) Analysis of gold market trends

On the Asian session on Monday, gold hovered around 3588.75. Precious metals rose slightly to near all-time highs as weak U.S. jobs data further consolidated expectations for the Fed's rate cut later this month. U.S. non-farm employment data (NFP) released on Friday showed that hiring slowed in August and the unemployment rate rose to its highest level since 2021, confirming that labor market conditions in the world's largest economy are falling. The reports boosted expectations of the Fed's rate cut, which provided some support for precious metal prices, as lower rates could reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold.

The U.S. non-farm data is far lower than expected! Spot gold hits another high(图4)

Technical: The relative strength index (RSI) indicator on the daily chart remains above 70, indicating that gold is technically overbought and may experience technical corrections before the upward trend continues. At this point, determining the upside technical goals of gold is a difficult task as it is still close to its all-time high. Therefore, once gold stabilizes above $3600 and confirms that this level is supported, it may be regarded as the next psychological threshold. Looking down, $3500 (front resistance, previous all-time high) may be considered the first support level, followed by $3450 (static level, front resistance) and $3405-3400 (20-day simple moving average, integer mark).

2) Analysis of crude oil market trends

On the Asian session on Monday, crude oil trading 6Nearly 1.87. As the global economy emerges deeper cracks, the oil market continues to fall. Oil prices fell further after weak employment data, heralding a wider economic slowdown.

The U.S. non-farm data is far lower than expected! Spot gold hits another high(图5)

Technical: The bearish outlook for crude oil is also obvious on the weekly chart, showing a strong consolidation in the long-term support area of ​​the $55 to $65 area. However, the price action remains bearish below the red dotted trend line, indicating that the downward pressure continues.

Forex market trading reminder on September 8, 2025

①To be determined China's August trade account

②To be determined French government holds a vote of confidence on budget issues

③07:50 Japan's July trade account

④14:00 Germany's July seasonally adjusted industrial output monthly rate

⑤14:00 Germany's July seasonally adjusted trade account

⑥16:30 Eurozone September Sentix Investor Confidence Index

⑦23:00 US New York Fed's 1-year inflation expectation

The above content is about "[XM Foreign Exchange Platform]: US non-agricultural data is far lower than expected! Spot gold hits a new high" is carefully www.stofoco.compiled and edited by the XM Foreign Exchange editor. I hope it will be helpful to your trading! Thanks for the support!

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